A Tale of Two Timelines

[Guest hodannyboi]

Arneg and Pozzy are the same person living in parallel universes.  Born 30 years ago.  Their timelines differ only in the following ways:

• In one timeline, his mother named him Arneg.  In another, his father named him Pozzy.
• At age 30 (present day), Pozzy is is diagnosed HIV+, Arneg remains HIV-.
• Pozzy begins treatment right away and fully adheres to it until the day he dies.
• At age 65, both have a bout of severe food poisoning.
• At age 75, both get the flu.
• At age 85, both are in a bad car accident and lose a significant amount of blood.
• At age 95, assuming they both make it that far, they die when a piano falls on them.

Their experiences are the same, heath/genetics/diet the same, sexual activity/vices the same, everything the same except what's noted above.

 

How much more likely is Pozzy to get extremely sick or die at ages 65, 75, 85?

 

[Guest BreedMeInVegas]

According to this study, if Pozzy' CD4 didn't get below 350, he could actually live longer then Neg.  Here is the relavant quote from the study:

 

A study from the US has found that some groups of people with HIV, especially those treated before their CD4 count falls below 350 cells/mm³, now have life expectancies equal to or even higher than the US general population.

 

My guess as to why this may be true is because people with HIV see a doctor way more routinely then people without HIV, because we have to keep getting a prescription filled.

And the link: http://www.aidsmap.com/Life-expectancy-now-considerably-exceeds-the-average-in-some-people-with-HIV-in-the-US/page/2816267