fuckholedc
-
Posts
793 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Gallery
Everything posted by fuckholedc
-
Encephalitis = brain inflamation
-
Thanks!
-
Ultimately two doses but currently many health providers are focusing on one dose for now and pushing the second dose down the road by several months or up to two years (the recommendation of the Bavarian Nordic manufacturer of Jynneos) because there is a shortage of vaccine. I have read that some providers are exploring the possibility that people > 50 might only receive one single vaccine as a booster. This will vary by country. The US and the UK stopped smallpox vaccination in 1972 and 1971 respectively. Germany OTOH stopped in 1976 and East Germany stopped in 1980. So in Germany the issue would be that people in their early 40's could in fact have some protection from the smallpox vaccine.
-
No. This is not a SIR or variation model (I'm not modeling the dynamics of the outbreak itself with this). This is just taking the cumulative cases and fitting it to an exponential function (in this case a power function). That is *WRONG* but an adequate/even good estimate for the first stage of the epidemic (before the cases peak). A better estimate for this would be to induce a logistic function *BUT* that should only really be done when it is clear that the epidemic is really peaking (COVID showed us that our behavior created 6 separate peaks so far so we shouldn't jump the gun just because it looks like an epidemic is over). I have seen that people are not provided math tools to help protect themselves during epidemics (apparently even intelligent people [Fauci for example] think that math models are too much for people). Nonetheless I have seen even doctors who should know better make serious math errors over time and unfortunately many Gay men made serious errors wrt AIDS transmission and risk in public forums in the past.
-
I induced a basic exponential function for monkeypox data from Germany (I cannot find historical data for Berlin itself) without the wild assumptions I had made prior to my trip to Montreal. Currently most of the monkeypox cases are occurring in Berlin but this will change if the outbreak isn't contained so currently this function is basically a Berlin function. The function is not bad and may indicate that inoculations and other measures are in fact having an effect. The question will be is that is sufficient. So the function is y = 0.5381741*x^2.000014 where x is days since May 19, 2022 (May 19 is day 1). This indicates that in two weeks cumulative monkeypox cases will be 3798 which would be an additional 1258. These new cases are currently locked in because the incubation period is approx. 2 weeks. The current doubling period is approx. 27 days and appears to be getting longer. If this holds up *AND* if the doubling period continues to lengthen then the outbreak will be corralled in Germany.
-
[think before following links] https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abk1688 Generally this strain is estimated to proceed to full-blown AIDS in two years. -
Pretty much proves my usual statement that the USA is a complete fuck-up country (which doctors are increasingly saying themselves wrt deficits in the organization of public health) Monkeypox outbreak in U.S. is bigger than the CDC reports. Testing is 'abysmal' June 25, 2022 [think before following links] https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2022/06/25/1107416457/monkeypox-outbreak-in-us
-
San Francisco declares an emergency to help the city deal with monkeypox spread [think before following links] https://www.npr.org/2022/07/28/1114381260/san-francisco-monkeypox-emergency
-
A doctor in Nigeria tried to warn the world that monkeypox had become a global threat [think before following links] https://www.npr.org/2022/07/28/1114183886/a-doctor-in-nigeria-tried-to-warn-the-world-that-monkeypox-had-become-a-global-t
-
Additionally 10% of people who contract monkeypox have been admitted to the hospital for pain management (Sweden is reporting 15% for pain management). [think before following links] https://zeenews.india.com/world/monkeypox-virus-outbreak-over-18000-cases-globally-most-in-europe-who-asks-at-risk-men-to-reduce-number-of-sexual-partners-2490287.html
-
Looks like WHO and other reporting agencies are making a difference between monkeypox year to date and the specific current outbreak which started as a "separate" (distinguishable) health phenomenon circa May, 2022. [think before following links] https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2022-DON392
-
A guy I was with in Montreal mentioned that a week or two after his monkeypox inoculation, the inoculation site got hard and swelled up a bit and was a bit sore. I'm one week in and haven't experienced anything (but usually don't have the reactions to inoculations that lots of people report).
-
There have actually been 5 deaths attributed to the current monkeypox outbreak in the West (and 70, likely an undercount, in Africa): - well actually this report is saying that the five deaths *WERE IN FACT* in African countries. Perhaps I have been misreading .... [think before following links] [think before following links] https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2022/07/who-14000-monkeypox-cases-worldwide-5-deaths#:~:text=A global outbreak of monkeypox,been reported in African nations.
-
There's a period where people get a rash that they might not even notice. They are contagious at that point, well before the development of vesicles. Some people only get the rash.
-
Submissive Twink Seeking a Group and Master
fuckholedc replied to a topic in Washington D.C. / Baltimore Metro Areas
There used to be a few masters in DC like that but the couple I knew of left. DC really should have it's own *ACTIVE* cumdump network but the flip side to DC itself is that many/most people want to hide their piggyness (really, really hide it) so it has been difficult to get much organized publicly. There could still be actual whore stables in DC but they aren't public about it. -
Hepatitis B. I just got chlamydia for the first time after the BiohazardMens Party in Berlin in April. I've been amazingly lucky that I've had very few STD's.
-
Learn to clean out, get on PrEP and start taking dick. Find out how much dick you can take now by using a few smaller size butt plugs and dildos working their way up in size and work up from there. You are just outside of Portland and I'm pretty sure there is a bathhouse there. Go check it out. And in Seattle and Vancouver, Canada. Plan a trip to LA and Palm Springs. Find out if you like being a cumdump* by seeing if you like taking dick after dick or if you like getting fucked and then waiting a while before you get fucked again or if you like orgy situations more. And be very careful with the club drugs. But it's mostly a matter of practice taking dick and paying attention to what your body is telling you. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *I found out that I liked being a cumdump because I fantasized about it and then, at a White Party in Palm Springs I climbed into a fuck box (a rectangular prism set in a wall with an opening - the rectangle was about 8 to 10 feet long - you crawl in and there is enough room in the back to wait ass up in doggy or to get on your back with your heels on the ceiling and ass available (I did that) - then guys climb in and fuck you.
-
They seem to admit people all night At some places they stop admitting people if they get low on lockers. This must have happened at some time in Club Philly's existence but I have never seen it. Cumunion at Club Philly is technically over around 4 am but I have seen it go later.
-
Well one article discussing HIV in Germany puts the % of MSM between 20 and 59 at 2.5% or 80,000 men. [think before following links] [think before following links] https://magazin.hiv/magazin/neuigkeiten/mediathek-berliner-forscher-entwickeln-schatzverfahren-10-prozent-der-schwulen-grosstadter-hiv-positiv/ Ill look at the actual data for Berlin after I return.
-
Because it seems to me that 20% of Berlin men are Gay (it's definitely more that 10%). But a much smaller % are piggy. It's true I made that up but this is also a worst case back of the envelope estimate.
-
Justice Thomas makes it clear decisions support our rights are next
fuckholedc replied to drscorpio's topic in LGBT Politics
Also since the Nazis don't want any privacy, actually out all the LGBTQ R's and white supremacists this time. Any actionable information should be publicized. -
Justice Thomas makes it clear decisions support our rights are next
fuckholedc replied to drscorpio's topic in LGBT Politics
And they are right. Let's spilt the US into an actual democracy where everyone has guaranteed civil liberties and let the fascists have their own country. Then seal the borders to keep the Nazis out. -
Monkeypox has a two week incubation period. Most of those actually infected will not know it for a week or two. The next few infection cycles are locked in now. In the worst case this is 7 (two wks / 2, since cases were roughly doubling every two days). 2 ^7 is 128. In the worst case there are actually 128k men in Berlin infected (although it's more likely to be around a quarter or so of that). Berlin has 3.6M people. Approx. 20% are Gay males. 128k/720k means in the worst case 18% of Gay men in Berlin are infected now although it will take two wks approx. to show up (symptoms are a lagging indicator, esp. with this long incubation period).
-
It's important to note that the CEO in this case is an immunologist.
-
I wasn't at the last Cumunion but usually they are really getting started at midnight,. In the past the sort of empty out around 5am or so (they officially have gone to 3am in the past),
